During the Trump presidency, will median home prices in Washington DC dip below 500k?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for During the Trump presidency, will median home prices in Washington DC dip below 500k??

Manifold Markets prices No at 87.4% as of October 3, 2026.

When does During the Trump presidency, will median home prices in Washington DC dip below 500k? resolve?

During the Trump presidency, will median home prices in Washington DC dip below 500k? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.

How is During the Trump presidency, will median home prices in Washington DC dip below 500k? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolved based on Redfin.

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KALSHI

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

• Above 3.2%+1.0pt99%
• Above 3.0%99%
• Above 3.1%99%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$815.2K

24h Vol

$70.7K

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-1.0pt72.3%
• No+1.0pt27.7%

Total Vol

$519.6K

24h Vol

$47.5K

KALSHI

CPI core in September

• Above 0.0%93%
• Above 0.1%+6.0pt75%
• Above 0.2%-2.0pt36%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol

$212.8K

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike+7.5pt62.9%
• Hike–Pause–Pause22.9%
• Hike–Hike–Hike-0.5pt10.5%

+6 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)+9.5pt62.8%
• 1 (25 bps)+1.0pt27.4%
• 3 (75 bps)-3.9pt7.8%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

• Above 2.1%99%
• Above 2.2%97%
• Above 2.3%+7.0pt90%

+12 more outcomes

Total Vol

$167.6K

24h Vol

• CPI in September
• How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
• CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
• September Inflation US - Annual
• September Inflation China - Annual
• Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in September 2026?
• Core CPI YoY - September 2026
• FAO Food Price Index for October
• Will the year-over-year change in the US Consumer Price Index exceed 3.6% in September 2026?
• Core PCE YoY - September 2026
• Core PCE MoM - September 2026