Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 75.9% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026? resolve?

Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Este mercado será resolvido como SIM caso Donald Trump ordene oficialmente um novo ataque militar dos Estados Unidos contra o Irã até 31 de dezembro de 2026.

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POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change+1.8pt96%
• 25 bps increase-2.3pt4%
• 25 bps decrease0%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$83.9M

24h Vol

$9.7M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-2.0pt62.5%
• D-House, R-Senate28.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.5pt

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party+0.2pt90.8%
• Republican Party+0.2pt9.5%

Total Vol

$75.5M

24h Vol

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico65.5%
• Ken Paxton34.5%

Total Vol

$45.7M

24h Vol

$1.9M

KALSHI

What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

• Deport / Deported / Deportation+81.0pt99.5%
• Save America Act+4.0pt99.5%
• Sanctuary+8.0pt

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep64.7%
• R Senate, D26.5%
• Republicans Sweep7.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$40.3M

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