Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsMiddle East3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 88%
Forecasters
17
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleSep 5, 26, 3:09 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Este mercado será resolvido como SIM caso Donald Trump ordene oficialmente um novo ataque militar dos Estados Unidos contra o Irã até 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- A resolução será baseada em confirmação de fontes confiáveis.
- Ameaças, declarações ou planos de ataque, sem uma ordem efetiva, não serão suficientes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 88% as of September 7, 2026.
- When does Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Donald Trump order a new U.S. attack on Iran by the end of 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Este mercado será resolvido como SIM caso Donald Trump ordene oficialmente um novo ataque militar dos Estados Unidos contra o Irã até 31 de dezembro de 2026.