Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2026-2035 30.8%-18.7ptLeader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 12, 25, 2:01 AM UTCSep 12, 26, 1:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill we have flying cars commercially available by the year 2035?
Manifold MarketsBy December 31, 2028, will there be a fully operational, commercially available hotel in space?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
KalshiWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketHow many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiRules
Such options would be available
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $22.1K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $6K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.8K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000+1.0pt60%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Commercially available tooth regeneration therapy?
- Manifold Markets prices 2026-2035 at 31% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Commercially available tooth regeneration therapy resolve?
- Commercially available tooth regeneration therapy is scheduled to resolve on September 12, 2026.
- How is Commercially available tooth regeneration therapy settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Such options would be available