By the end of 2045, will it be possible for someone born biologically male to get pregnant and have children normally?
One-OffScience19yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 74.8%
Forecasters
29
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 27, 23, 1:03 PM UTCJan 1, 46, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
By the end of 2045, will it be possible for a person who was born male to get pregnant and have children normally?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2035, will it be possible for a person who was born biologically male to get pregnant and have children normally?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2045, will it be possible for a person who was born male to get pregnant and have children?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2055, will it be possible for a person who was born male to get pregnant and have children normally?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRules
The fertilization must occur via sex and the baby must be born via somewhat normal childbirth rather than a cesarean section.
- The process must be relativly safe and not highly experimental, and it must be cheap enough to be available to the middle class.
- It does still count if it's only possible based on actions taken during childhood, such as hormones to change pelvis growth.
- This is a copy of @/IsaacKing/by-the-end-of-2035-will-it-be-possi but for a 10 years longer timespan.
- Mar 27, 7:03am: By the end of 2035, will it be possible for someone born biologically male to get pregnant and have children normally? → By the end of 2045, will it be possible for someone born biologically male to get pregnant and have children normally?