Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Ra'am, Hadash + Ta'al + Balad 97.9%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleDec 1, 24, 10:23 AM UTCOct 2, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Iran target an Arab country by which date?
PolymarketWhich lists will win a Knesset seat?
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Manifold MarketsVote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
PolymarketRules
Which Arab party lists will run together in the next Israeli Knesset elections?
- I will not bet on this market.
Open markets
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $26.9M
- 24h Vol
- $363.4K
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-19.5pt49%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+6.1pt59.2%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+0.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Total Vol
- $8.1M
- 24h Vol
- $178.2K
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 more outcomes
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Arab Party alliances in the next Knesset elections??
- Manifold Markets prices Ra'am, Hadash + Ta'al + Balad at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Arab Party alliances in the next Knesset elections? resolve?
- Arab Party alliances in the next Knesset elections? is scheduled to resolve on October 2, 2026.
- How is Arab Party alliances in the next Knesset elections? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Which Arab party lists will run together in the next Israeli Knesset elections?