Current community forecast
No 90%
Forecasters
30
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 6, 26, 10:49 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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PolymarketRules
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41173) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description: This question will resolve as Yes if, before January 1, 2027, an EU Regulation or EU Directive is adopted that (i) requires at least one social media platform or AI chatbot to use mandatory age verification for EU users, or (ii) in the case of a Directive, requires Member States to ensure such an obligation is imposed on those services.
- Update 2026-02-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that questions about resolution should be directed to the Metaculus question, as this market resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
Prediction Source Comparison
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for [ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does [ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027? resolve?
- [ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is [ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41173) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Where else is [ACX 2026] Will the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Futuur.