A serious US presidential candidate says they'll take decisive action in the case of near term AI risk.

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+2.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt26.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.7pt8.9%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$46.8M

24h Vol

$2.2M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+1.0pt64.4%
• R Senate, D-1.0pt26.7%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt7.9%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro+1.8pt78.2%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt21.8%

+17 more outcomes

Total Vol

$190.8M

24h Vol

$1.8M

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party+0.6pt91%
• Republican Party-0.5pt8.9%

Total Vol

$63.6M

24h Vol

$1.5M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+2.0pt64.5%
• Ken Paxton35.5%

Total Vol

$33.2M

24h Vol

$1.2M

KALSHI

California Governor winner? (Person)

• Xavier Becerra+0.5pt96.3%
• Steve Hilton-0.7pt3.5%

Total Vol

$20.5M

24h Vol

$1.1M