Current community forecast
No 67%
Forecasters
73
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleFeb 2, 24, 5:24 AM UTCJan 2, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves Yes if there's credible news coverage of a humanoid robot causing a human death by 2028.
- Has to be unaided by other tech.
- Could be an accident, ie the falling on the person.
- Must be a humanoid.
Open markets
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+3 more outcomes
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+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
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+2 more outcomes
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for A Humanoid Robot Kills a Human by 2028?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 67% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does A Humanoid Robot Kills a Human by 2028 resolve?
- A Humanoid Robot Kills a Human by 2028 is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2028.
- How is A Humanoid Robot Kills a Human by 2028 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves Yes if there's credible news coverage of a humanoid robot causing a human death by 2028.