KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Republican party 86%
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$102.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
86.0% / 89.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jul 15, 25, 2:00 PM UTCNov 7, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If a representative of the the named outcome is sworn in as a Senator of Louisiana for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Open markets
Politics
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
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- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Louisiana Senate winner? (2028)?
- Kalshi prices Republican party at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Louisiana Senate winner? (2028) resolve?
- Louisiana Senate winner? (2028) is scheduled to resolve on November 7, 2029.
- How is Louisiana Senate winner? (2028) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If a representative of the the named outcome is sworn in as a Senator of Louisiana for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.