KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026, 1:16 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 99%
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$253.2
Liquidity
$947.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 100.0%
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleAug 19, 26, 6:00 PM UTCSep 17, 26, 8:55 AM UTC
Trends
99%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
If United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY is above Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only the first non-preliminary value reported for each measure will be used.
- For the Euro Area, any flash or preliminary estimate does not qualify.
- The values will be compared as published in percent.
- A tie resolves No, and subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
Open markets
Inflation
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Total Vol
- $70.4K
- 24h Vol
- $24.8K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETSeptember Inflation US - Annual
- 3.6%+0.5pt40.4%
- 3.7%-1.5pt24.8%
- 3.5%+5.0pt21.1%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.1K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
- 3.5–3.9%-5.9pt55.7%
- 4.0-4.4%-2.6pt16.5%
- 2.5–2.9%-0.1pt10.3%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)+2.0pt60.2%
- 3 (75 bps)-1.3pt23.3%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt15.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- NYC median asking rent in December 2026
- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026
- September Inflation China - Annual
- September 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- CPI core in September
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in August??
- Kalshi prices No at 99% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in August? resolve?
- Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in August? is scheduled to resolve on September 17, 2026.
- How is Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in August? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If United Kingdom Inflation Rate YoY is above Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY for August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.