KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 3.0% · —
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Stored price
Above 6.0% 51%Market line of 15 lines
Above 6.0% 51%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$2.1K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Above 3.0%Spread
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Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 1:00 AM UTCJan 5, 29, 1:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 3.0%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- “Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31. The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2028. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions will not affect the outcome.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 3.0%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 3.5%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.0%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 4.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.5%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.0%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.5%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 5.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6.0%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 6.5%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 6.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.0%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 7.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.5%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 7.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8.0%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 8.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8.5%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 8.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9.0%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 9.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9.5%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 9.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10.0%
- If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2028 is above 10.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
