KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Below 39.2% 43.5%Leader of 9 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$20.4K
Liquidity
$18.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 10, 26, 2:01 PM UTCSep 11, 26, 4:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 16?
PredictItWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
KalshiUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRules
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.5pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+8.2pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
- 24h Vol
- $588.1K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Total Vol
- $29.6M
- 24h Vol
- $446.8K
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $416.5K
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 11, 2026??
- Kalshi prices Below 39.2% at 44% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 11, 2026? resolve?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 11, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 11, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Trump's RCP approval average is below 39.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.