KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027 72%
Market quality
76 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$138.6K
Liquidity
$96.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
58.0% / 60.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 9:00 PM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump issue Obamacare rebates before Election Day?
KalshiWill Donald Trump issue an executive order from the federal government at any point past February 1 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump issue Elon Musk a Presidential Pardon while he is in office
Manifold MarketsHow many vetoes will Trump issue in 2026?
PredictItWill Trump issue a veto in 2026?
PolymarketHow many pardons and commutations will Trump issue from June 30 - July 4?
PredictItRules
If Donald Trump issues a public apology for any of his own statements, actions, or conduct after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Donald Trump
- The apology must specifically reference the topic either directly by name/description or with clear contextual connection.
- Qualifying apologies include explicit statements using words like "apologize," "sorry," "regret," or "I was wrong" related specifically to the topic, public acknowledgment of fault or error, or retraction of previous statements coupled with expression of wrongdoing.
- The apology must be in a public forum (social media, press conference, interview, official statement).
- Conditional apologies ("I would be sorry if..."), sarcastic or clearly insincere statements, private apologies that are reported but not confirmed publicly, statements of regret without accepting responsibility, and clarifications without expressions of remorse do not qualify.
- If the person apologizes and then retracts before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes based on the initial apology.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump issue a public apology??
- Kalshi prices Before Jan 1, 2027 at 72% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Donald Trump issue a public apology? resolve?
- Will Donald Trump issue a public apology? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is Will Donald Trump issue a public apology? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Donald Trump issues a public apology for any of his own statements, actions, or conduct after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.