KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Moderate Party 74.3%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$12.3K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 13, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If the named outcome finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 Swedish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Swedish Election Authority
- For proportional representation systems, 3rd place is determined by the party list order as specified by the electoral authority's final seat allocation.
- The party awarded the 3rd-highest number of Riksdag seats in Valmyndigheten's final, certified distribution of mandates (mandatfördelning) resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by national vote share.
- Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the preliminary count published on election night or the ongoing count in the days that follow Only the election to the Riksdag counts.
- Seats won in the regional and municipal elections held the same day do NOT count A party awarded no seats cannot place 3rd If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 3rd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO
- In case of an exact tie for 3rd place among multiple parties as certified by the election authority, the markets shall resolve to $1/(number of tied entities) rounded down.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Swedish Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place?
- Kalshi prices Moderate Party at 74% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Swedish Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place resolve?
- Swedish Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2027.
- How is Swedish Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 Swedish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.