KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Before Mar 1, 2027 42%Leader of 5 outcomes
Before Mar 1, 2027 42%Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Open interest
$4K
Medium open interestMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Sep 3, 26, 10:00 PM UTCSep 25, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Before Mar 1, 202742%
Before Dec 19, 202617%
Before Nov 21, 20264%
Before Oct 3, 2026Lost
Before Sep 25, 2026Lost
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LimitlessRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:U.S. Senate
- Hung Cao must be the first person confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy before the applicable date. Serving as Acting Secretary, a presidential announcement of intent, formal nomination, committee hearing or report, cloture, or a scheduled vote does NOT constitute confirmation. If his nomination is withdrawn before a deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Oct 3, 2026
- If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Mar 1, 2027
- If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 19, 2026
- If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Dec 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 21, 2026
- If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 25, 2026
- If Hung Cao is the first person confirmed as Secretary of the Navy before Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.