KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (83%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 6:07 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
42%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 5:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 83%
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$39K
Liquidity
$28.4K
High liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 22.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 18, 26, 4:06 PMAug 23, 26, 10:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes17%
No83%
83%
17%
Rules
If Al-Riyadh and Al Nassr both score a goal in the Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr Saudi Pro League match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:FIFA
- Own goals count towards the team awarded the goal.
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Open markets
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-1.8pt66%
- October 31-9.0pt41%
- September 30-3.0pt26%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18M
- 24h Vol
- $401K
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 31-3.0pt8%
- November 30-2.0pt6%
- October 31-1.0pt4%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt47%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-4.0pt24%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt36.7%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt22.4%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt11.2%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.1pt98%
- August 2595%
- August 31-0.5pt86%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 310%
- August 150%
- Total Vol
- $22.7M
- 24h Vol
- $118.3K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr: BTTS?
- Kalshi prices No at 83% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr: BTTS resolve?
- Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr: BTTS is scheduled to resolve on August 23, 2026.
- How is Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr: BTTS settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Al-Riyadh and Al Nassr both score a goal in the Al-Riyadh vs Al Nassr Saudi Pro League match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.