KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNot meaningfully pricedStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 1:53 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Talarico by 0-5 · —
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Stored price
Talarico by 0-5 23%Leader of 8 outcomes
Talarico by 0-5 23%Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$0
Open interest unknownBid / Ask
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Talarico by 0-5Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 28, 26, 5:50 AM UTCJan 8, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Talarico by 0-5
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?
PolymarketWill James Talarico win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExTalarico Texas Senate odds hit __ by November 2?
PolymarketIf James Talarico wins the Texas Senate election, will democrats win another statewide office?
Manifold MarketsRules
If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is between 0.01 and 5 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Each candidate's margin is their percentage of the total votes cast in their race minus the percentage received by the highest-finishing other candidate in that race, calculated from the certified results. Total votes cast include write-in votes reported in the certified results. A margin is negative if the candidate does not finish first. The difference between the two margins is rounded to two decimal places, and a range includes its lower number but not its upper number.
Rules for each outcome
- Talarico by 0-5
- If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is between 0.01 and 5 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raman by 5-10
- If Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election minus James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 5 and 10 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raman by 0-5
- If Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election minus James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 0 and 5 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Talarico by 5-10
- If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is between 5 and 10 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Talarico by 10-15
- If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is between 10 and 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raman by 10-15
- If Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election minus James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is between 10 and 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raman by 15+
- If Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election minus James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election is at least 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Talarico by 15+
- If James Talarico's margin in the Texas U.S. Senate election minus Nithya Raman's margin in the Los Angeles mayoral election is at least 15 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.