KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 12:48 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Democratic party · —
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Stored price
Democratic party 93.5%
Democratic party 93.5%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.3K
Open interest
$3.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Democratic partySpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingFeb 19, 26, 7:00 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Democratic party
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will win the Pennsylvania State House District 12 general election?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the Democratic party wins the Pennsylvania State House election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pennsylvania Department of State
- This market will resolve based on total chamber control of the Pennsylvania State House, incorporating all 203 seats, as measured by the party which wins more seats. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. If both parties win the same number of seats, the party whose member is elected Speaker when the House convenes on January 5, 2027 will resolve to Yes; if the Speaker is elected under a power-sharing agreement, the party with the higher share of the vote across the 203 November 3, 2026 general election races will resolve to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Democratic party
- If the Democratic party wins the Pennsylvania State House election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican party
- If the Republican party wins the Pennsylvania State House election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.