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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. How many government shutdowns in 2026?
How many government shutdowns in 2026?

How many government shutdowns in 2026?

4.0% (24h)YearlyPoliticsUS Politics6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
2
2 58%-4.0%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$16

Liquidity

$76.7

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

54.0% / 58.0%

Spread

7.4%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Feb 13, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

258%

Rules

If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Link to associated contract: GOVTSHUTLENGTH.
  • If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 3 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 4 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Link to associated contract: GOVTSHUTLENGTH.
  • If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 3 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 4 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of distinct government shutdowns (as defined in the GOVTSHUTLENGTH contract, with shutdown status checked at 10:00 AM ET each day) is exactly 5 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.