KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Luca Niculescu (96%)
Resolved: Oct 20, 2026, 6:35 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Luca Niculescu
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 20, 2026, 5:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Anca Dragu1%
Cătălin Predoiu4%
George Simion4%
Ionuț Dumitru4%
Dacian Cioloș4%
Lucian Croitoru1%
Delia Velculescu3%
Șerban Matei1%
Victor Ponta1%
Siegfried Mureșan1%
Leonardo Badea2%
Alexandru Rogobete4%
Alexandru Nazare2%
Luca Niculescu96%
Luca NiculescuWon
Cătălin DrulăLost
Marcel CiolacuLost
Alexandru RafilaLost
Raluca TurcanLost
Mircea GeoanăLost
Cătălin PredoiuLost
George SimionLost
Nicolae CiucăLost
Sebastian BurdujaLost
Ionuț DumitruLost
Dacian CioloșLost
Dominic FritzLost
Alexandru RogobeteLost
Emil BocLost
Delia VelculescuLost
Alexandru NazareLost
Sorin GrindeanuLost
Eugen TomacLost
Leonardo BadeaLost
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KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Romania after Issuance is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Times
- If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Romania after Issuance is Mircea Geoană, then the market resolves to Yes.
