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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. US Politics
  3. When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?
When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?

When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?

37.0% (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticsCrime & Justice28d
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before Jul 18, 2026
Before Jul 18, 2026 11%-37.0%
Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$46.3

Liquidity

$40.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

15.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.7%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Jun 17, 26, 2:50 PMJul 18, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before Jul 18, 202611%

Rules

If James McDonald is the first person confirmed as U.S.

Kalshi
  • Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
  • Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If James McDonald is the first person confirmed as U.S.

Kalshi
  • Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jun 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
  • Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jul 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Attorney for the Southern District of New York before Aug 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.