KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 10 48.7%-1.0ptLeader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$271.8
Liquidity
$6.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 6:00 PM UTCOct 6, 26, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketRules
If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)?
- Kalshi prices At least 10 at 49% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026) resolve?
- Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026) is scheduled to resolve on October 6, 2026.
- How is Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the highest daily number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.