KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 60%
No 60%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Open interest
$825.7
Low open interestBid / Ask
42.0% / 51.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 12:30 AM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Manifold MarketsConfirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
KalshiMore than 1000 cases of Irkutsk Plague?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia control Irkutsk on Jan 1st 2032?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:Rospotrebnadzor
- Only an announcement by Rospotrebnadzor, Russia's federal public health agency, including its Irkutsk Oblast office, counts. It must name a specific organism, such as Yersinia pestis or another bacterium, virus or fungus identified by genus or species, as the cause of the employee's pneumonia or death. A generic description such as "bacterial," "viral" or "undetermined etiology" does NOT count Naming a pathogen as suspected, under investigation or not ruled out does NOT count Ruling out a pathogen without naming the cause does NOT count
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.