KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above $80M 75%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.1K
Low liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 22, 26, 12:00 AM UTCOct 21, 26, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If House Majority PAC's cash on hand is above $80 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:FEC
- This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
- Only the first official or non-preliminary release of the relevant statistic will be used to resolve the market, and subsequent revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution.
- If House Majority PAC's cash on hand is above $95 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If House Majority PAC's cash on hand is above $110 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If House Majority PAC's cash on hand is above $125 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3)?
- Kalshi prices Above $80M at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3) resolve?
- HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3) is scheduled to resolve on October 21, 2026.
- How is HMP Cash on Hand (End of Q3) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If House Majority PAC's cash on hand is above $80 million as of September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.