KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Jan 20, 2029 40%+4.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 20, 2029 40%+4.0ptMarket quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Open interest
$58.3K
High open interestSpread
2.8 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Dec 23, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will the EU abolish daylight saving time?
Manifold MarketsWill the EU end Daylight Saving Time before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US adopt and keep permanant Daylight Saving Time, or permanent Standard time, by EoY 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill permanent daylight saving time be enacted in 2026?
PredictItWill Georgia officially switch to permanent daylight saving time?
KalshiWill the EU abolish daylight saving time by 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
If legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time has become law after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time has become law after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If legislation establishing permanent Daylight Saving Time has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
