Before 2028
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 82%
No 82%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$2.1K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
May 22, 26, 5:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
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KalshiWill Destiny win his lawsuit with Pxie?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:ABCMSNBCPACERCBSthe Associated PressThe Washington PostCNNThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsThe New York TimesNBCPoliticoBloomberg NewsReuters
- Donald Trump achieves the superior outcome through the following exclusive hierarchy: Net Monetary Recovery (Highest Priority): Donald Trump achieves the superior outcome if they receive a larger net monetary award than all opposing parties combined (after offsetting any awards against Donald Trump). Attorney's fees and costs are excluded. Substantive Legal Victory (Second Priority): If no net monetary advantage exists, Donald Trump achieves the superior outcome if they prevail on claims seeking the largest dollar amount of relief in their original pleadings, or if relief amounts are equal, on the greater number of primary causes of action. Case Termination Advantage (Third Priority): If the case terminates without substantive judgment, Donald Trump achieves the superior outcome if (as defendant) all claims are dismissed with prejudice, or (as plaintiff) opposing parties voluntarily dismiss all claims with prejudice. All other termination scenarios result in no superior outcome for any party. Settlements: Superior outcome if net payment flows to Donald Trump; no superior outcome if payment flows from Donald Trump; no party achieves superior outcome if terms are sealed or undisclosed. Key exclusions: Applies only to trial-level resolution — specifically excludes all appeals processes. Procedural victories alone do not constitute superior outcomes.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
