KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 1730K 99%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$36.6
Liquidity
$81.6
Low liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 12:00 AM UTCSep 10, 26, 12:29 PM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.3% in September 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 5% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExFed Decision in September?
PolymarketInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiRules
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Aug 29, 2026 is at least
- 1730K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Aug 29, 2026.
- The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week.
- The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
- 1740K, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Aug 29, 2026?
- Kalshi prices At least 1730K at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Aug 29, 2026 resolve?
- Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Aug 29, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 10, 2026.
- How is Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Aug 29, 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Aug 29, 2026 is at least