KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 185,000 98%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.9K
Liquidity
$6K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 12:00 AM UTCSep 10, 26, 12:25 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Aug 29, 2026
KalshiEcunemp 26 SEP 10 Claims
Robinhood (Rothera)Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.625% at the FOMC meeting ending September 16, 2026?
ForecastExUS SPR level for the week ending September 4, 2026
KalshiWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.375% at the FOMC meeting ending September 16, 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 2.875% at the FOMC meeting ending September 16, 2026?
ForecastExRules
If there are the named outcome initial jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Department of Labor
Open markets
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $146.1K
- 24h Vol
- $55.1K
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 more outcomes
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.9K
- 24h Vol
- $20.9K
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $18.6K
KALSHIHow high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- At least ¥73,000-31.0pt34%
- At least ¥74,000-39.0pt28%
- At least ¥80,00024%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.8K
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $66.1K
- Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- How low will the S&P get this year?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026?
- Kalshi prices At least 185,000 at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026 resolve?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 10, 2026.
- How is Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If there are the named outcome initial jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.