KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Above $750 · —
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Stored price
Above $1,250 49.5%Market line of 5 lines
Above $1,250 49.5%Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$20.2
Open interest
$6.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above $750Spread
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Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 3:30 AM UTCSep 20, 27, 8:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above $750
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $1,250, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:State of Alaska
- The Underlying is the 2027 Permanent Fund Dividend amount per eligible recipient published by the State of Alaska. If the state officially includes an energy-relief or similar payment in the reported PFD amount, that amount is included; separately reported payments not included in the official PFD amount are excluded.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $750
- If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $750, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1,000
- If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $1,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1,250
- If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $1,250, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1,500
- If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $1,500, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1,750
- If the official Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount for 2027 is above $1,750, then the market resolves to Yes.