KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least ¥73,000 34%-31.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14.1K
Liquidity
$14.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jun 16, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Nikkei 225 Index settle above 44,800 on December 30, 2026?
ForecastExWill the Nikkei 225 Index settle above 48,000 on December 30, 2026?
ForecastExWill the Nikkei 225 Index settle above 51,200 on December 30, 2026?
ForecastExWill the S&P finish positive this year?
KalshiHow high will the S&P get this year?
KalshiHow low will the S&P get this year?
KalshiRules
If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is the named outcome from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading View
- The market resolves based on the value of the Nikkei 225 as reported by the Trading View, using the index's natively published level in its own currency and units; no currency conversion is applied.
- It is sufficient for the index to reach or exceed ¥73,000 at any single point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 for the market to resolve to Yes — the level does not need to be sustained.
- If the index does not reach ¥73,000 at any point during from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, the market resolves to No. Revisions to the underlying made after expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- If no data is available for from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 by the Expiration Date, all strikes other than "No data" or "None" resolve to No. The index level is evaluated to two decimal places unless otherwise specified.
Open markets
Equities
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt77.7%
- Apple+0.6pt13.6%
- Alphabet6.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $122.3K
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 27,510 or above99%
- 28,550 or above98%
- 29,130 or above98%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $119.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.2K
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,650 or above99%
- 7,660 or above99%
- 7,600 or above99%
+67 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $55K
- 24h Vol
- $54.8K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9917.1%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9915.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99-1.0pt10.5%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.5M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.9K
- 24h Vol
- $48.6K
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?
- Down+32.5pt98%
- Up-32.5pt2%
- Total Vol
- $48K
- 24h Vol
- $45.3K
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- S&P price on Sep 8, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Up or Down - Daily
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026??
- Kalshi prices At least ¥73,000 at 34% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026? resolve?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the value of Nikkei 225 (NKY) is the named outcome from Jun 16, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.