KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 2:10 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
PSD 30%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Apr 23, 26, 4:00 AM UTCOct 4, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
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PolymarketRules
If PSD wins the most governorships following the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- A governorship is won when the candidate is declared elected by the electoral authority and either the challenge period has expired, legal challenges are resolved, or the candidate has taken office as governor.
- Party affiliation is based on the party under which the candidate was elected, regardless of later changes.
- In case of ties for a rank, all tied parties at that rank resolve to Yes with values split proportionally.
- If a ranking is skipped due to ties (e.g., two parties tie for #1, next is #3), markets for the skipped rank (#2) resolve to No. If PT wins the most governorships following the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won?
- Kalshi prices PSD at 30% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won resolve?
- Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2027.
- How is Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If PSD wins the most governorships following the 2026 Brazilian gubernatorial elections, then the market resolves to Yes.