KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Above 175 94%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$801.8
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 28, 26, 4:00 PM UTCSep 8, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
94%
55%
18%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?
PolymarketTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurRules
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Aug 31, 2026 to Sep 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Aug 31, 2026 to Sep 6, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.