KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Current implied probability
Above 280 97%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$395
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquiditySpread
91.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 28, 26, 4:00 PM UTCSep 8, 26, 1:00 PM UTC
Trends
97%
76%
26%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiCanada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?
PolymarketWhen will PATH stop diverting weekend JSQ/33rd St traffic through Hoboken?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May 31st 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsSouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
KalshiRules
If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Aug 31, 2026 to Sep 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Aug 31, 2026 to Sep 6, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Open markets
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156%
- October 31+3.0pt31.2%
- September 30+3.0pt12.8%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $121.2K
- 24h Vol
- $5.6K
KALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $15.7K
- 24h Vol
- $5.1K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt28%
- October 31+1.0pt13%
- September 30+0.5pt7%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- No+1.0pt75.3%
- Yes-1.0pt24.8%
- Total Vol
- $20.6K
- 24h Vol
- $1.2K
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 3154%
- September 3023%
- September 15-1.9pt3%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.5K
KALSHITraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/31 - 9/6)
- Above 17594%
- Above 200-1.0pt55%
- Above 225+9.0pt18%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Will Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- What will Nike say during their next earnings call?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/31 - 9/6)?
- Kalshi prices Above 280 at 97% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/31 - 9/6) resolve?
- Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/31 - 9/6) is scheduled to resolve on September 8, 2026.
- How is Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/31 - 9/6) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Aug 31, 2026 to Sep 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.