KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 260
Resolved: Sep 9, 2026, 2:48 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
Above 260
At 7 days out
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At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Above 2600%
Above 2700%
Above 28097%
Above 29076%
Above 30026%
Above 280Lost
Above 290Lost
Above 300Lost
Above 260Won
Above 270Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Aug 31, 2026 to Sep 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Aug 31, 2026 to Sep 6, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.