KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Democratic by 91 to 130 · —
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Stored price
Democratic by 91 to 130 12.5%Leader of 14 outcomes
Democratic by 91 to 130 12.5%Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4
Open interest
$14.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Democratic by 91 to 130Spread
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Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
May 15, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 8, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 14s (informational)
Market depth · Democratic by 91 to 130
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Open Answer: What will be the (absolute) Electoral College margin in the 2028 US Presidential Election?
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PolymarketRules
If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United States Congress
Rules for each outcome
- Democratic by 91 to 130
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 61 to 90
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 61-90 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 31 to 60
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 61 to 90
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 61-90 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 91 to 130
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 131 to 210
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 131-210 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 11 to 30
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 1 to 10
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1-10 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 211 or more
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 11 to 30
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 31 to 60
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 1 to 10
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1-10 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 131 to 210
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 131-210 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 211 or more
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.