Current implied probability
Todd Blanche 85.5%Leader of 31 outcomes
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
85.0% / 86.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Mar 26, 26, 8:47 PMJan 1, 27, 12:01 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Todd Blanche86%
Compare venues· Kash Patel
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 GeminiThis pageBest overall | Low | 36% | -8pt | $5 | $0 | 18 minutes ago | |
 Futuur83% match · auto | Low | 44% | 0pt | $0 | $7.3K | 18 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Futuur
Who will leave the Trump administration in 2026?
5mo
86%
45%
44%
+7 more outcomes
31 • Low qualitySpread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$1.3K
24h Vol$0
FUTUURRules
Prediction markets for whether listed officials leave their stated role in the Trump Administration before Jan 1, 2027 (i.e., during calendar year 2026). 'Leave' means the individual permanently ceases to hold the role (e.g., resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, etc.).
- Temporary leaves of absence/suspensions/recusals do not count unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the role ceases to exist with no plausible successor, contracts may resolve No.
- If the individual dies while holding the role, contracts may resolve to a last fair price per exchange rules.
- If Todd Blanche leaves as Deputy Attorney General before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Prediction markets for whether listed officials leave their stated role in the Trump Administration before Jan 1, 2027 (i.e., during calendar year 2026). 'Leave' means the individual permanently ceases to hold the role (e.g., resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, etc.).
- Temporary leaves of absence/suspensions/recusals do not count unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the role ceases to exist with no plausible successor, contracts may resolve No.
- If the individual dies while holding the role, contracts may resolve to a last fair price per exchange rules.
- If Todd Blanche leaves as Deputy Attorney General before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.