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Data as of Sep 10, 2026, 9:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Lori Chavez-DeRemer 100%Leader of 34 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownTraders
0
Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Mar 26, 26, 8:47 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 12:01 AM UTC
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ForecastExRules
Prediction markets for whether listed officials leave their stated role in the Trump Administration before Jan 1, 2027 (i.e., during calendar year 2026). 'Leave' means the individual permanently ceases to hold the role (e.g., resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, etc.).
- Temporary leaves of absence/suspensions/recusals do not count unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the role ceases to exist with no plausible successor, contracts may resolve No. If the individual dies while holding the role, contracts may resolve to a last fair price per exchange rules.
- If the named outcome leaves as Deputy Attorney General before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sources from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, person, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
- the named outcome must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.