KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Transparent / Transparency (99%)
Resolved: Sep 11, 2026, 1:35 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 11, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Florida1%
ID / Identification1%
Trump1%
Transparent / Transparency99%
Event does not qualify1%
Republican99%
Corrupt / Corruption99%
Congress99%
Democrat99%
FBI1%
Whistleblower1%
Russia / Russian1%
UFO / UAP1%
Epstein1%
Transparent / TransparencyWon
RepublicanLost
Corrupt / CorruptionLost
CongressLost
DemocratLost
Event does not qualifyLost
FloridaLost
ID / IdentificationLost
TrumpLost
FBILost
WhistleblowerLost
Russia / RussianLost
UFO / UAPLost
EpsteinLost
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ForecastExRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the RNC Midterm Convention using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the RNC Midterm Convention will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Anna Paulina Luna speaking in an official capacity.