FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 88%
No 88%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$39.9
Liquidity
$958.2
Low liquidityTraders
11
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro return to Brazil by the end of 2026?
FutuurFlávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
PolymarketFlávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?
PolymarketWill Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Trump and Flávio Bolsonaro meet?
KalshiArrest of any of Jair Bolsonaro's sons in 2026?
FutuurRules
This event predicts whether Eduardo Bolsonaro will be arrested at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, an “arrest” means physical detention by law enforcement authorities with the intent to hold him in custody (in Brazil or any other country).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official confirmation from competent law enforcement or judicial authorities (e.g., official statements, court records, or custody documentation).
- If Eduardo Bolsonaro is arrested (as defined above) during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Detentions during routine questioning at a border/airport, or other temporary holds that do not escalate into an arrest, will not qualify.