European Central Bank interest rate decision in December

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for European Central Bank interest rate decision in December?

Futuur prices 25 bps increase at 86% as of November 7, 2026.

When does European Central Bank interest rate decision in December resolve?

European Central Bank interest rate decision in December is scheduled to resolve on December 16, 2026.

How is European Central Bank interest rate decision in December settled?

Futuur settles this market as follows: This event covers only the decision announced at the European Central Bank's December 2026 monetary policy meeting (scheduled for December 16–17, 2026).

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ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Fed rate decision in December 2026

• Hike 25bps+10.0pt70.6%
• Fed maintains rate-13.0pt23.4%
• Hike >25bps2.8%

+2 more outcomes

Total Vol

$172K

24h Vol

$1.9M

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase+10.0pt75.5%
• No change-11.0pt21.6%
• 25 bps decrease-0.2pt1%

+2 more outcomes

KALSHI

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

• Hike 25bps+11.0pt76.5%
• Fed maintains rate-12.0pt24.5%
• Cut 25bps

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+4.0pt89.1%
• Anthropic-3.0pt10.9%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes+10.0pt75.3%
• No-10.0pt24.8%

Total Vol

$1.6M

24h Vol

$58.6K

KALSHI

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

• Ilhan Omar+1.0pt23.5%
• John Brennan+3.0pt15%
• Dan J. Sullivan+3.0pt

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