FutuurClosedVerified resolution dataThis market resolved: Tie (10%)
Resolved: Aug 15, 2026, 7:59 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Aug 14, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probabilityAl Ittihad 45%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownTraders
0
Market data
Updated 11 days ago
StaleAug 15, 26, 6:00 PMAug 15, 26, 6:00 PM
Trends
45%
45%
10%
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.2pt78%
- October 31+18.5pt65%
- September 30+13.0pt42%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $20.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.8pt100%
- August 31+4.0pt96%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No-4.0pt90.1%
- Yes+4.0pt9.9%
- Total Vol
- $5.9M
- 24h Vol
- $481.9K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-6.0pt60.4%
- Yes+6.0pt39.6%
- Total Vol
- $9.5M
- 24h Vol
- $333.2K
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 202978%
- Before Jul 1, 202871%
- Before Jan 1, 202859%
+11 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $29.2M
- 24h Vol
- $302.9K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $59.9M
- 24h Vol
- $269.1K
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Al Ittihad vs. Al Kholood?
- Futuur prices Al Ittihad at 45% as of August 14, 2026.
- When does Al Ittihad vs. Al Kholood resolve?
- Al Ittihad vs. Al Kholood is scheduled to resolve on August 15, 2026.