Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 1.5% in December 2026?

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Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 1.5% in December 2026??

ForecastEx prices Yes at 99% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 1.5% in December 2026? resolve?

Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 1.5% in December 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 13, 2027.

How is Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 1.5% in December 2026? settled?

ForecastEx settles this market as follows: US Core CPI December 2026.

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POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)-0.5pt75%
• 1 (25 bps)+1.0pt25%
• 3 (75 bps)-0.8pt0%

+3 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1.4M

24h Vol

$99K

POLYMARKET

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

• Below 4.9%90%
• Below 4.8%66%
• Below 4.7%+18.0pt46%

+15 more outcomes

Total Vol

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%
• Above 3.2%98.5%

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

• Pause-Hike-Pause+6.0pt62.8%
• Pause-Pause-Hike+0.7pt14.7%
• Pause-Pause-Pause+8.5pt14.7%

+6 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes-2.5pt74%
• No+2.5pt26%

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$12.9K

POLYMARKET

How high will inflation get in 2026?

• Above 4.5%+4.5pt17%
• Above 5%+0.5pt9%
• Above 6%4%

+5 more outcomes

• Core CPI in October
• CPI YoY in December
• Core CPI YoY - October 2026
• CPI in October
• Core CPI YoY in December
• Core CPI in November
• Canada Annual Inflation 2026
• Core CPI YoY in November
• Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
• October Inflation China - Annual
• CPI in November
• Core CPI in December