Manifold Markets
Mercato predittivo in denaro fittizio dove chiunque può creare e negoziare mercati usando mana, una valuta virtuale che non può mai essere convertita in denaro reale. Non è richiesta alcuna verifica dell'identità per partecipare.
Visita Manifold MarketsDisponibilità
Fonte previsionale o con denaro virtuale; l'idoneità al trading non si applica.
KYC / Identità
Nessuna verifica dell’identità richiesta
Metodologia e accesso
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Regola in
Mana (play money)
Tipo di mercato
Limit orders + AMM (CPMM)
Statistiche live
Mercati aperti34.507
Mercati totali50.003
Partecipanti966.120
Media previsori/domanda19.8
Media esiti/mercato4.0
Tasso di risoluzione31%
Ultimo aggiornamento21 ott 2026, 21:09
Categorie Principali
1. One-Off31380 Mercati aperti
2. Politica6275 Mercati aperti
3. US Politics5385 Mercati aperti
4. IA5313 Mercati aperti
5. Tecnologia5026 Mercati aperti
Storico delle risoluzioni
12,196 mercati risolti · dal 2022 · 100% con timestamp del provider
Esplora su CoinRithm
Letture correlate
Mercati aperti
MANIFOLD MARKETSBy the end of 2050, what will my best guess be for the number of people that have died from climate change since 2000?
- 1M-10M-2.6pt22.7%
- <10K (includes negative numbers)19.7%
- 10M-100M-14.0pt18.9%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 113,9 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will Voyager 2 stop transmitting any scientific data?
- 2028-2.3pt11.1%
- 2027-3.1pt10.2%
- 2026-0.7pt10%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 48,1 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSAustralia vs South Africa. 2nd Test Megamarket
- Australia win Toss100%
- Boland 5fa100%
- Jansen 5fa100%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4K €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will I reach 100 pounds?
- Before Aug 2027+48.8pt98.8%
- Before May 2027+48.0pt98%
- Before Feb 2027+11.7pt90.8%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 771,4 €
- Volume 24h
- 364,5 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAustralia vs South Africa Test Series Predictions
- Cummins is Captain+47.9pt88.9%
- Cummins plays all the games+19.3pt60.3%
- South Africa win Series-24.6pt54.6%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 743,6 €
- Volume 24h
- 477,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will Reflection AI release its first open-weight model?
- Oct 13 to Oct 19+46.2pt66.2%
- By Oct 12, 2026-11.5pt8.5%
- Oct 20 to Oct 31-11.5pt8.5%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 46,3 €
- Volume 24h
- 44,5 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAs of 1/1/2027, which fund manager will have the largest fund dedicated to the PE secondary market?
- Ardian32.8%
- Apollo-1.7pt6.5%
- Lexington-1.1pt2.5%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 30,3 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will win the American League Cy Young Award in the 2026 MLB season?
- Cam Schlittler+41.8pt96.7%
- Tarik Skubal-0.2pt0.5%
- Garrett Crochet-0.2pt0.5%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6K €
- Volume 24h
- 133,6 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlberta Referendum vs Charles III US Visit - 2026
- Alberta holds referendum - Charles visits US+40.4pt73.9%
- Alberta doesn't hold referendum - Charles visits US-40.9pt24.5%
- Alberta holds referendum - Charles doesn't visit US+0.3pt0.8%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 695,4 €
- Volume 24h
- 203,2 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will do best on today's wordle (manifold discord)?
- Quroe+38.3pt48.3%
- Jack-8.1pt1.9%
- Genzy-9.2pt0.8%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 696,2 €
- Volume 24h
- 781,2 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSGas Price on October 26
- 4.1999 or more?+38.0pt86%
- 4.2199 or more?+47.0pt64%
- 4.2399 or more?+7.0pt19%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 660,8 €
MANIFOLD MARKETS2026 WTA Tour Women's Tennis Matches 🎾
- 🇺🇸 A. Li vs 🇨🇴 M. Camila Osorio Serrano [Australian Open – Round 1]100%
- 🇭🇺 A. Bondár vs 🇺🇸 E. Mandlik [Australian Open – Round 1]100%
- 🇵🇱 M. Linette vs 🇺🇸 E. Navarro (15) [Australian Open – Round 1]100%
+953 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 378,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 365,9 €
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- Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets, Oct 21
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