By the end of 2050, what will my best guess be for the number of people that have died from climate change since 2000?
72.3 pt (24h)GeopoliticaOne-OffMeteo
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Other 27.7%-72.3ptIn testa tra 10 esiti
Other 27.7%-72.3ptPrevisori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-72.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto3 mar 23, 00:53 UTC2 gen 51, 00:53 UTC
Trend
Regole
I will only resolve YES answers created by order of magnitude (edit: OR <10K, which includes negative numbers)
- EG: 10K-100K, 100K-1M, 1M-10M, 10M-100M, etc. Please do not add answers that deviate from this format.
- I will not count effects that route through social effects of climate change.
- EG I will not count "climate-change related mass immigration increases social instability which is partially responsible for a war in which people die".
- I will count effects like "climate change caused high temperatures in a region which caused people to be more likely to die from sickness."
