Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 16:06 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeOther 74.6%+48.6ptIn testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+48.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto24 ott 26, 22:37 UTC31 dic 27, 23:35 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
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Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the entity where Thariq Shihipar announces or begins his next primary, full-time professional role (or founder role) following his departure from Anthropic in October 2026.
- Verification sources: Resolution will be determined by official public statements from Thariq Shihipar (via his verified X account @trq212 or LinkedIn profile), official company announcements, or reputable tech journalism (e.g., Bloomberg, The Information, TechCrunch).
- Scope: The role must be a primary full-time position or founding a new venture.
- Informal advisory roles, temporary consulting gigs, or angel investing do not count unless framed as his full-time occupation.
- Starting a company: If he founds or co-founds an independent startup or stealth venture, this will resolve to an option representing founding his own startup, or "Other" if a dedicated option is not created.
