Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale3000 or more 100%In testa tra 16 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+10.8 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto5 gen 26, 13:34 UTC5 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Per https://planet4589.org/space/stats/out/satannual.txt when updated past year end
- Last few years at time of market creation: 2018 568
- If this source is unavailable or out of date I might switch to UNOOSA which has fairly similar numbers but usually takes longer to update. https://www.unoosa.org/oosa/osoindex/search-ng.jspx?lf_id=