Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 62.2%
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto22 ago 26, 23:03 UTC31 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Daniel Lord announce meeting vanlife girl before September 14, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord upload a new YouTube video before September 14, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord livestream between September 5 and September 11 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if there is credible evidence that Daniel Lord (YouTuber of Hiding In My Room) is primarily living and sleeping in a Tesla vehicle as of October 31, 2026.
- The market resolves to NO if he has moved into a traditional residence (such as an apartment, house, or room), is primarily living in a different vehicle (e.g., a non-Tesla van or camper), or is otherwise no longer living in a Tesla.
- Rules & Edge Cases:
- "Living in a Tesla" is defined as utilizing a Tesla vehicle as his primary overnight sleeping accommodation.
- Temporary stays (such as visiting family or staying in a hotel/Airbnb for less than a week) will not trigger a "NO" resolution as long as the Tesla remains his primary residence.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6K €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume totale
- 736,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 62% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October??
- Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Daniel Lord still be living in a Tesla by the end of October??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria