Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 62.4%
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
22 ago 26, 23:03 UTC31 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Daniel Lord still own a Tesla on January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord publicly state that he is in a romantic relationship before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord return to OnlyFans by January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Daniel Lord announce the acquisition of “cereal” before January 1st, 2027?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if there is credible evidence that Daniel Lord (YouTuber of Hiding In My Room) is primarily living and sleeping in a Tesla vehicle as of October 31, 2026.
- The market resolves to NO if he has moved into a traditional residence (such as an apartment, house, or room), is primarily living in a different vehicle (e.g., a non-Tesla van or camper), or is otherwise no longer living in a Tesla.
- Rules & Edge Cases:
- "Living in a Tesla" is defined as utilizing a Tesla vehicle as his primary overnight sleeping accommodation.
- Temporary stays (such as visiting family or staying in a hotel/Airbnb for less than a week) will not trigger a "NO" resolution as long as the Tesla remains his primary residence.