Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 16:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale≥90% 75.5%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+14.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto16 gen 26, 20:50 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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This market matches Software Optimization: GSOBench from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
- See other manifold questions here
- [image]Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the highest Hack-Adjusted Opt@1 score on the GSO leaderboard as of December 31, 2026.
- A task counts as solved if a single attempt achieves ≥95% of the human speedup AND passes all correctness tests.
- No retries or cherry-picking the best of multiple runs is allowed.