Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale<10% 83.9%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto16 gen 26, 20:50 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
This market matches AI Research: OpenAI-Proof Q&A from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
- See other manifold questions here
- [image]Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the best reported performance on OpenAI-Proof Q&A as of December 31, 2026.
- If OpenAI changes the task set, use the latest official reported version.
- If no 2026 results are published, the question resolves as ambiguous.
