Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale10 30.5%+2.9ptIn testa tra 9 esiti
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
22 set 26, 10:40 UTC31 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
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How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?
PolymarketTotal space launches in October
KalshiHow many SpaceX launches in 2026?
PolymarketWill SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill this question get 111 traders in 555 days? (October 23, 2026) UTC
Manifold MarketsWill SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for October 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.