Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 97.7%
No 97.7%Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto10 nov 22, 04:26 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many successful SpaceX launches in October 2026 UTC
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KalshiRegole
Resolves YES upon any successful launch into a suborbital trajectory, conditional on it being capable to boost to orbit (regardless of if that succeeds).
- Resolves NO on close
