Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeWes Streeting is not Prime Minister at the end of 2026 99%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto15 mag 26, 13:0731 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
Regole
Combined conditional market on Streeting becoming PM and who he picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if he does.
- Please only add Labour MPs as options.
- (Use the "Other" option if you think a non-Labour MP (other than Burnham) might get the job.) I don't think there are any circumstances under which this market can resolve NA.
- If you have an edge case that I haven't covered in the small print, please let me know.
- Resolves to "Current Role Holder" on this page:
- https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/chancellor-of-the-exchequer
Mercati aperti
AI
POLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- October 31+2.4pt99%
- September 30+4.0pt96%
- September 15+1.5pt89%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 934,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 195K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.2pt68%
- ChatGPT-1.2pt12.6%
- Grok+0.4pt9.7%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 8,3 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+20.5pt76.2%
- Moonshot-13.9pt13.9%
- Z.ai-8.0pt5.9%
+8 altri esiti
GEMINIBTC price on September 1
- $77,000 or above88%
- $77,250 or above75.5%
- $77,500 or above52%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 31,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 31,6K €
POLYMARKETNext Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date?
- October 31+3.9pt99%
- September 30+11.7pt96%
- September 15+8.9pt86%
+7 altri esiti
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Wes Streeting is not Prime Minister at the end of 2026 al 99% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026??
- Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be Wes Streeting's Chancellor at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Combined conditional market on Streeting becoming PM and who he picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if he does.